8th September 2024

After his shockingly poor efficiency in final week’s debate, President Biden is going through mounting stress to drop out of the 2024 election. Influential voices in his personal occasion have known as for him to step apart. Polls point out that many citizens hope he’ll. But up to now he’s staying the course.

There’s a proper title for this lure: escalation of dedication to a dropping plan of action. Within the face of impending failure, intensive proof exhibits that as a substitute of rethinking our plans, we regularly double down on our choices. It feels higher to be a fighter than a quitter.

One of many tragedies of the human situation is that we use our massive brains to not make rational choices, however relatively to rationalize the choices we’ve already made. We stick round too lengthy in dead-end jobs. We keep in sad marriages even after buddies have recommended us to depart. We stand by candidates even after they violate our rules.

A few of the worst management choices of our time could be traced to escalation of dedication. Many individuals misplaced their lives as a result of American presidents pursued a futile conflict in Vietnam — and continued trying to find weapons of mass destruction that weren’t in Iraq. As George Ball warned in a 1965 letter to President Lyndon Johnson: “As soon as we endure massive casualties, we could have began a well-nigh irreversible course of. Our involvement will likely be so nice that we can not — with out nationwide humiliation — cease in need of attaining our full targets. Of the 2 prospects I feel humiliation will likely be extra possible.”

It occurs in enterprise, too: Blockbuster went bust as a result of as a substitute of shopping for Netflix, leaders escalated their dedication to renting bodily movies. Kodak made the same mistake by doubling down on promoting movie as a substitute of pivoting to digital cameras.

Escalation of dedication helps to elucidate why leaders are sometimes so reluctant to loosen their grip on energy. Dropping a high-status place could make them really feel as in the event that they’re dropping their place on this planet. It leaves them with bruised egos and wounded delight.

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